An Enduring Truce Among the Israeli State and Palestine? We've Seen This Pattern – The Result Was Further Conflict

So, what time period do we find ourselves? An American leader, after months of tacit encouragement, has ultimately stepped in to halt an Israeli military offensive that has turned swaths of a urban center in the region to debris, resulting in numerous individuals deceased and sparking global outrage.

The offensive has come after a sequence of assaults on the Israeli nation. Now, responding to pressure from the White House, the prime minister of Israel, a rightwinger with a talent for populist rhetoric and an intense sense of historic Zionist mission, has approved a truce.

Historical Parallels

The time period is not the current year, but the early 1980s. The city is not present-day Gaza, but Beirut, Lebanon. The US leader is President Reagan, not today's leadership.

We find many differences between what happened in the Lebanese nation more than four years past and what has happened in Palestinian territories in the last 24 months. The October attack of last year, which killed 1,200 and involved numerous taken hostage, differs significantly with the relatively paltry efforts of the PLO in the year or so preceding Israel's invasion of Lebanon.

Striking Parallels

Some are uncanny. The US leader eventually made the call the counterpart, informing him that what was happening in the capital was "a disaster" and indicating the diplomatic ties between their states could be significantly impaired if the fighting persisted.

At that time, comparable to present circumstances, the conflict developed in real time on millions of screens. Hundreds correspondents flew into the city to report on for the initial instance an regional battle without information control by the combatants.

Results and Outcomes

The events following the conversation from Reagan and the truce in Beirut is educational. The PLO, its divisions and representatives were spread across multiple countries and a dozen countries.

Washington then withdrew multinational troops – an infringement of the understanding with Arafat. The Lebanese president, Lebanon's recently chosen leader and Israel's chosen ally, was murdered by Damascus operatives.

Regional Transformation

Comparable developments occurred across the wider Middle East. By the end of the 1970s, the increasingly non-religious and modern approaches that had seemed to offer the potential of a changed reality in the Arab and Islamic worlds a decade or so earlier were discredited.

The consequences of this were quickly apparent, very quickly

Across the region, the Israeli state and the America now faced opponents who were considerably more intractable, dangerous and capable than the secular movements and nationalists of earlier years.

Western Response

Internationally, the results of this were perverse. Throughout the 1970s, global observers and policymakers had attempted to comprehend what generated armed fundamentalism.

Afterward, in the beginning of that decade, this ended. Government officials in the US, the Britain and additional countries were ceased being concerned in "root causes" of violence.

Contemporary Echoes

Last week, accounts show that current leadership informed government representatives that the state could not oppose international consensus and acknowledged territorial ambitions for a sovereign entity.

This also was an echo of historical precedent. In the consequence of the Israeli invasion of the neighboring country, earlier administration told Israel that the capability of its defense establishment alone could not "establish just and lasting peace" and acknowledged "justified demands of the Palestinian population."

But a American-sponsored comprehensive agreement supposed to resolve those grievances failed to progress. Abroad, political figures observed helplessly.

Global attention in the area waned. The nation rejected accommodations. Later, there was the major unrest, and the establishment of further armed organizations.

  • The patterns of history provide sobering lessons for contemporary resolution attempts
  • Permanent settlements require confronting fundamental problems rather than temporary ceasefires
  • Local circumstances continue to change in complex and sometimes unexpected ways
Stephanie Mcbride
Stephanie Mcbride

A productivity coach and mindfulness advocate with over a decade of experience helping individuals optimize their routines.